BETA
Chapter 1
The wisdom of crowds
Chapter 2
The digital betting arenas
Chapter 3
The accuracy test
Chapter 4
Ethics, manipulation, and the future
YOUR GOAL
Master of How the internet bets on the future
Ch 4 · Ethics, manipulation, and the future
futura Ethics, manipulation, and the future
We're betting on tomorrow, we are trading on the truth!
futura Global corporations use internal betting markets to uncover honest project timelines and product success rates.
futura Betting on tragic real-world events raises difficult moral questions about profiting from suffering.
Fun Fact
Google's internal bets: Google found that its employees' internal betting markets were incredibly accurate at predicting product launch delays.
Glossary
insider trading (noun)
The illegal buying or selling of securities by someone who has access to nonpublic or confidential information. In April 2026, Gannon Van Dyke was indicted for using classified military secrets to bet on Polymarket.
The illegal buying or selling of securities by someone who has access to nonpublic or confidential information. In April 2026, Gannon Van Dyke was indicted for using classified military secrets to bet on Polymarket.
Quiz
Why do some corporations use internal prediction markets instead of traditional manager surveys?